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<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message -----
<DIV style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; font-color: black"><B>From:</B> <A
title=iii@ci.uc.pt href="mailto:iii@ci.uc.pt">Instituto Investigação
Interdisciplinar</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>To:</B> <A title=grexte@fct.uc.pt href="mailto:grexte@fct.uc.pt">'GREXTE
- FCTUC (GREXTE - FCTUC)'</A> </DIV>
<DIV><B>Sent:</B> Thursday, October 13, 2005 10:30 AM</DIV>
<DIV><B>Subject:</B> FW: Conferência de Alexis Tsoukias</DIV></DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>
<DIV class=Section1>
<P class=MsoNormal><FONT face=Arial color=navy size=2><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 10pt; COLOR: navy; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<BLOCKQUOTE style="MARGIN-TOP: 5pt; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 5pt">
<BLOCKQUOTE style="MARGIN-TOP: 5pt; MARGIN-BOTTOM: 5pt"><FONT
face="Times New Roman" size=3><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt">
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 12pt"><BR><B><?color><?param 0000,0000,0000><SPAN
style="FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Subject: <?/color>Conferência de Alexis
Tsoukias<BR></SPAN></B><BR>Integrado no CICLO DE CONFERÊNCIAS SOBRE DECISÃO,
organizado pelo<BR><st1:PersonName w:st="on">Instituto de Investigação
Interdisciplinar</st1:PersonName> da Universidade de Coimbra
em<BR>associação com o INESC Coimbra e a Faculdade de Economia da
Universidade<BR>de Coimbra vai realizar-se a seguinte
conferência:<BR><BR>Sexta-feira, 14 de Outubro de 2005, às 14h30<BR>Prof.
Alexis Tsoukiàs (University of Paris IX, France)<BR>Título: From decision
theory to decision aiding methodology<BR>Comentador: Prof. Manuel Matos
(FEUP)<BR>Local: Sala Keynes da Faculdade de Economia da Universidade de
Coimbra<BR>(Entrada livre)<BR><BR><BR>Nascido na Grécia, o Prof. Alexis
Tsoukiàs doutorou-se no Politecnico di<BR>Torino. Exerceu funções docentes e
de investigação nessa escola,<BR>posteriormente na Université Libre de
Bruxelles, e finalmente na<BR>Université Paris-Dauphine. Actualmente é
investigador do prestigiado CNRS,<BR>dirigindo a unidade de Apoio à Decisão
do Laboratoire d'Analyse et<BR>Modélisation de Systèmes pour l'Aide à
<st1:PersonName w:st="on" ProductID="la Décision">la
Décision</st1:PersonName> da Université<BR>Paris-Dauphine. É ainda
actualmente presidente da Associação Europeia de<BR>Sociedades de
Investigação Operacional.<BR><BR>Nesta conferência, Alexis Tsoukiàs
apresentará a sua perspectiva acerca da<BR>teoria da decisão e da
metodologia do apoio à decisão, focando-se nesta<BR>última para discutir o
papel do consultor, confrontando-o por exemplo com<BR>o papel de um advogado
com o papel de um médico. O resumo enviado pelo<BR>autor é o
seguinte:<BR><BR><<The aim of this presentation is to reflect about
the contents of the<BR>``decision aiding'' profession and the methodology
and theories to that<BR>associated. I first introduce a brief (and personal)
reconstruction of the<BR>history of Operational Research and Decision
Theory. In such a<BR>reconstruction I try to focus on the ``extensions'' of
this theory during<BR>the last 60 years and to justify my claim that there
have been several<BR>``decision theories'' developed, all of them with a
different<BR>legitimization background.<BR>I then try to identify what
ultimately characterises the profession of a<BR>``decision analyst'' or of
an ``operational researcher'' compared with<BR>other professions where
decision aiding is also practiced such as lawyers<BR>and psychotherapists.
Two main features are thus identified:<BR>- the abstract and formal language
used in conducting the decision aiding;<BR>- the use of a model of
rationality at least as legitimisation for action.<BR>Bearing in mind these
characteristics we can try to analyse the activities<BR>undertaken by an
``analyst'' when a client contacts him/her for receiving<BR>decision
support. In order to introduce a formal frame to such activities<BR>I
introduce the concept of ``decision aiding process'', a particular
type<BR>of decision process.<BR>The introduction of these concepts allows on
the hand to change the<BR>perspective as far as the different decision
theories are concerned and<BR>the other hand to focus our attention on the
type of outcomes this process<BR>generates. I therefore use this frame for
both analyzing the different<BR>decision aiding approaches discussed in the
literature and for<BR>characterizing the type of activities used in order to
provide decision<BR>support. This last analysis allows to get also several
operational<BR>recommendations which can be sent in order to train young
professionals in<BR>decision aiding.>></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 12pt"> </P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN-BOTTOM: 12pt"><SPAN
style="FONT-WEIGHT: bold">Subject: <?/color>Conferência de Paul
Slovic<BR></SPAN><BR>Integrado no CICLO DE CONFERÊNCIAS SOBRE DECISÃO,
organizado pelo<BR><st1:PersonName w:st="on">Instituto de Investigação
Interdisciplinar</st1:PersonName> da Universidade de Coimbra
em<BR>associação com o INESC Coimbra e a Faculdade de Economia da
Universidade<BR>de Coimbra vai realizar-se a seguinte
conferência:<BR><BR>Sexta-feira, 14 de Outubro de 2005, às 10h30<BR>Prof.
Paul Slovic (University of Oregon , USA)<BR>Título: The Affect Heuristic:
Exploring the Psychological Foundations of<BR>Judgment and Decision
Making<BR>Comentador: Prof. Armando Mónica de Oliveira (FPCE, UC)<BR>Local:
Sala Keynes da Feculdade de Economia da Universidade de Coimbra<BR>(Entrada
livre)<BR><BR>O Prof. Paul Slovic é o fundador e presidente do centro de
investigação<BR>“Decision Research”, dedicando-se ao estudo do julgamento
humano, da<BR>tomada de decisão e da análise de risco. Tem-de dedicado a
assuntos que<BR>vão desde as decisões pessoais (motivações para usar cintos
de segurança,<BR>ou para deixar de fumar) às decisões sociais (risco de
terrorismo, riscos<BR>associados a novas tecnologias, preservação do meio
ambiente). É ao mesmo<BR>tempo um bem sucedido consultor de organizações
empresariais e<BR>governamentais e um eminente académico (destacando-se
entre inúmeras<BR>publicações o livro “Judgment under uncertainty:
Heuristics and biases” em<BR>co-autoria com Amos Tversky e o recente Nobel
da Economia Daniel<BR>Kahneman). Recebeu em 1991 o “Distinguished
Contribution Award” da Society<BR>for Risk Analysis, de que foi presidente,
e recebeu em 1993 o<BR>“Distinguished Scientific Contribution Award” da
American Psychological<BR>Association. Recebeu doutoramentos honoris causa
pela Stockholm School of<BR>Economics (1996) e pela University of East
Anglia (2005).<BR><BR>Nesta conferência, Paul Slovic falará sobre a forma
como o afecto<BR>intervém no julgamento humano e na tomada de decisão. O
resumo enviado<BR>pelo autor é o seguinte:<BR><BR><<In this talk, I
shall attempt to articulate the role of affect in<BR>guiding judgments and
decisions. As used here, "affect" means the<BR>specific quality of
"goodness" or "badness" (i) experienced as a feeling<BR>state (with or
without awareness) and (ii) demarcating a positive or<BR>negative quality of
a stimulus. Affective reactions occur rapidly and<BR>automatically--note how
quickly one senses the feelings associated with<BR>the stimulus word
"treasure" or the word "hate." Reliance on such<BR>feelings when making
judgments or decisions has been characterized as "the<BR>affect
heuristic."<BR>The theoretical framework underlying the affect heuristic
comes from<BR>research in cognitive and social psychology and cognitive
neuroscience<BR>that informs us about two basic modes of thinking,
experiential and<BR>analytic. The experiential system is intuitive,
automatic, image-based,<BR>fast, and intimately associated with affective
feelings. The analytic<BR>system is deliberative, reason-based, and slow.
There are strong elements<BR>of rationality in both systems. It was the
experiential system that<BR>allowed human beings to survive during their
long period of evolution. <BR>Long before there was probability theory, risk
assessment, and decision<BR>analysis, there were intuition, instinct, and
gut feelings to tell us<BR>whether an animal was safe to approach or the
water was safe to drink. As<BR>life became more complex and humans gained
more control over their<BR>environment, analytic tools were invented to
"boost" the rationality of<BR>our experiential thinking. We recognize now
that the experiential mode of<BR>thinking and the analytic mode of thinking
are continually active,<BR>interacting in what we have characterized as "the
dance of affect and<BR>reason." While we may be able to "do the right thing"
without analysis<BR>(e.g., dodge a falling object), it is unlikely that we
can employ analytic<BR>thinking rationally without guidance from affect.
Rational decision<BR>making thus requires proper integration of both modes
of
thought.>><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P></BLOCKQUOTE></BLOCKQUOTE></DIV></BODY></HTML>